Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.028597 0.030716 0.032844 0.035139 0.037542 0.039980 0.042638
2026-01-04 0.024667 0.027986 0.031441 0.035294 0.039458 0.043810 0.048692
2026-01-11 0.021948 0.025958 0.030244 0.035141 0.040554 0.046331 0.052935
2026-01-18 0.020300 0.024851 0.029824 0.035616 0.042134 0.049201 0.057400
2026-01-25 0.018756 0.023699 0.029208 0.035737 0.043201 0.051404 0.061042
2026-02-01 0.017401 0.022648 0.028604 0.035774 0.044087 0.053336 0.064322
2026-02-08 0.016260 0.021759 0.028109 0.035867 0.044975 0.055221 0.067509
2026-02-15 0.015177 0.020868 0.027548 0.035822 0.045654 0.056827 0.070347
2026-02-22 0.014203 0.020049 0.027020 0.035769 0.046281 0.058342 0.073055
2026-03-01 0.013174 0.019102 0.026286 0.035421 0.046520 0.059371 0.075175
2026-03-08 0.012142 0.018097 0.025431 0.034880 0.046488 0.060050 0.076860
2026-03-15 0.011027 0.016925 0.024317 0.033972 0.045968 0.060115 0.077789
2026-03-22 0.010622 0.016691 0.024403 0.034586 0.047349 0.062509 0.081564
2026-03-29 0.010027 0.016179 0.024117 0.034724 0.048147 0.064216 0.084545
2026-04-05 0.009360 0.015533 0.023625 0.034572 0.048563 0.065444 0.086942
2026-04-12 0.008990 0.015275 0.023628 0.035042 0.049749 0.067607 0.090472
2026-04-19 0.008514 0.014843 0.023375 0.035162 0.050479 0.069205 0.093313
2026-04-26 0.008041 0.014389 0.023073 0.035199 0.051090 0.070647 0.095961
2026-05-03 0.007620 0.013988 0.022824 0.035290 0.051760 0.072156 0.098690
2026-05-10 0.007181 0.013536 0.022485 0.035246 0.052242 0.073421 0.101116
2026-05-17 0.006767 0.013102 0.022153 0.035193 0.052701 0.074650 0.103494
2026-05-24 0.006290 0.012542 0.021620 0.034849 0.052761 0.075365 0.105224
2026-05-31 0.005787 0.011915 0.020966 0.034314 0.052551 0.075721 0.106494